Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.244358e-05 1.512749e-05 0.000018 0.000022 0.000025 0.000030 0.000035
2026-02-01 8.702242e-06 1.196533e-05 0.000016 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000042
2026-02-08 6.295205e-06 9.697011e-06 0.000014 0.000020 0.000027 0.000037 0.000048
2026-02-15 4.756892e-06 8.155629e-06 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000039 0.000054
2026-02-22 3.658085e-06 6.965828e-06 0.000012 0.000019 0.000029 0.000042 0.000060
2026-03-01 2.744182e-06 5.840827e-06 0.000011 0.000018 0.000029 0.000044 0.000064
2026-03-08 1.973560e-06 4.757092e-06 0.000009 0.000017 0.000029 0.000045 0.000067
2026-03-15 1.450844e-06 3.969699e-06 0.000009 0.000016 0.000029 0.000046 0.000071
2026-03-22 1.145778e-06 3.517883e-06 0.000008 0.000016 0.000029 0.000048 0.000076
2026-03-29 8.853998e-07 3.081106e-06 0.000008 0.000016 0.000030 0.000050 0.000081
2026-04-05 6.967267e-07 2.747277e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000031 0.000053 0.000086
2026-04-12 5.908172e-07 2.588331e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000032 0.000056 0.000093
2026-04-19 4.279504e-07 2.241642e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000033 0.000059 0.000101
2026-04-26 2.771604e-07 1.833967e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000033 0.000061 0.000106
2026-05-03 1.682907e-07 1.472618e-06 0.000006 0.000015 0.000033 0.000063 0.000111
2026-05-10 1.030228e-07 1.214629e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000034 0.000065 0.000117
2026-05-17 6.064237e-08 1.004582e-06 0.000005 0.000014 0.000034 0.000067 0.000123
2026-05-24 3.013818e-08 7.918535e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000034 0.000068 0.000127
2026-05-31 1.120429e-08 5.846176e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000033 0.000068 0.000130
2026-06-07 3.587809e-09 4.433842e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000032 0.000069 0.000134
2026-06-14 1.240531e-09 3.699857e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000033 0.000072 0.000140
2026-06-21 2.495617e-10 2.994163e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000074 0.000147
2026-06-28 2.364184e-11 2.482673e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000077 0.000153